If My Theory is correct , he can land the 2.12

Selected Longchamp – very soft ground on this flat and galloping track

12.23 The strongest form is brought to the table by the Irish raider Duke of Sessa who landed a last gasp win  In the Leopardstown  mud last time out , but you have to worry about him staying this much longer trip on very deep ground . The prolific La Mehana is chasing a 5 timer and is both proven on soft ground and the trip and is preferred . English raider Al qareem brings good form to the table but another with it to prove on the ground at this trip .

1/4pt win La Mehana @ 9/4

1.33 A very open Group 1 and certainly worth a try on the late playing Jannah Flower , proven both at the trip and on soft ground .

1/4pt  ew Jannah Flower @ 11/1

4.00 The ground has come right for the prolific and once very useful Addeybb , who is now an 8yo , but ran as well as could be expected last time on ground too quick, not far below his rating , which gives him a decent ew chance .

1/4pt  ew Addeybb @ 6/1

4.35 The Revenant is a top notch miler and the deeper the ground the better . He holds his form very well and is the best bet on the card .

1/2pt win The Revenant @ 5/2

I’ve been through the Fontwell card carefully and with the ground softer than the majority of the runners would prefer , and many returning from breaks , happy to swerve the card ..

Today’s Multi

3 £1 doubles & £1 ew treble

Simulation Theory 2.12 @ 13/2

My Little Queens 4.32 @ 7/2

Honey Sweet 4.10 @ 12/1

Selected Newmarket – good ground on this undulating , stiff and galloping track

1.31 You can make a case for plenty in this good quality handicap for fillies as many of these remain lightly raced and progressive . Anything crossing The Irish Sea has to be taken seriously and Gavin Cromwell , who has a very healthy 20% success rate when raiding these shores saddles the progressive and prolific Dha Leath , who could be on a stiff enough mark now after landing 4 wins in her last 6 races , but her most recent run was an excellent running on 4th of 22 at The Curragh , on similar ground , from a wide draw, and off around this mark . Tactically versatile .

1/4pt  ew Dha Leath @ 10/1


2.42 Saffron Beach won this last year and very much comes here in top form . She had today’s clear danger homeless Songs well held last  time when she was a close 2nd at Leopardstown , and hard seeing defeat today .

3/4pt win Saffron Beach @ 13/8

Newmarket placepot







16 bets

Selected Redcar – good to soft on this flat and galloping track

2.12 The consistent Tele Red will like the ground , but the 4 pound hit will take a bit of overcoming . Going through the field you can find significant negatives for most , which makes the in form Simulation Theory a good bet . He’s been front running to effect the last twice , and was just done for speed late on here last time on similar ground , and the step back up in trip is very much in his favour .

1/2pt win Simulation Theory @ 13/2

2.47 One of the most improved racehorses around is the prolific I’m A Gambler , who comes here on the back of a smart soft ground win at Leopardstown , off a mark of 106 . He ventures into Listed company today , but so do the majority of this field , and has  a rare run on a straight track . but still the one to beat .

1/2pt win I’m A Gambler @ 9/4

3.21 A very valuable juvenile sprint and this should be in  safe keeping with the Group 2 Gimcrack 3rd Case Law , who went on to run to that level again next time when digging deep for a smart win in Class 2 and should be too classy for these . Best ew alternative is the consistent front running Washington Heights .

1/2pt  win Case Law @ 15/8

3.57 The Straight Mile Final and C&d specialist Diamondonthehill would do very well to go in again with a 4 pound penalty in this competitive heat . Spirit Catcher has won here and has been going well off this mark , and won’t mind the ground and has to go close but the well handicapped Tres Fluors sprang back to life last time out with a running on close 5th at Goodwood in the mud . Splitting my stakes .

1/4pt  ew each. Spirit Catcher @ 6/1  Tres Flours @ 8/1 – small rev fc ??

4.32 This isn’t a deep race and the down in grade My little Queens, comes here on the back of a fine close 3rd at Ayr , so this C&D should be fine , as is the ground .

1/2pt win Mu little Queens @ 7/2

5.07 A very open stayers handicap , and all of Molinari , Billy No Mates and Fairmac bring very solid claims to the table , but over this longer trip and on easier ground , Fairmac’s valiant efforts of late can be rewarded . Probably try to make all .

1/4pt  ew Fairmac @ 7/1

5.37 Plenty of early pace in this big field sprint handicap, but the softer ground and the penalty makes it very tough for recent C&D winner Lotus Rose while the consistent Helvetique would do very well to get competitive down in trip. The well handicapped Ey Up Its Maggie, is likely to be front rank and will again run her race on ground to suit .

1/4pt  ew Ey Up It’s Maggie @ 8/1

Redcar placepot







4 bets

Selected Ascot – good to soft on this stiff and galloping track

1.51 Tis Marvellous signed off a very successful season last year with a smart win in this , but first two runs back this season were tame , but bounced back to again win The Beverley Bullet , so you’d assume he was back to his best , but disappointed next time at Newbury when entitled to run much better, but he’s always hard to ignore here , 4 wins and 3 places from 13 tries , and especially on easy ground and worth another chance as it could be that he needs a stiff track to be at his best nowadays .

1/4pt win Tis Marvellous @ 5/1

2.25 The short priced fav is the recent Irish St Leger 2nd Hamish , but the drop in trip will test and this makes the prolific , progressive and very determined Get Shirty a lovely ew play . He’s progressed from handicaps , and wasn’t disgraced in a Group 2 last time . He’s won here , this trip is fine and so is soft ground . He’s run some terrific races off high marks in handicaps this season , and another big run likely today .

1/2pt  ew Get Shirty @ 9/1



4.10 This has a winnable look to it and the softer ground and stiffer track are both likely to give the consistent Honey Sweet that extra bit of impetus required to get over the line first .

1/2pt  ew  Honey Sweet @ 12/1


Ascot placepot







16 bets

Wolverhampton – Fortune for a fiver

50p ew Trixie & 50p ew treble

Point Of Honour 5.00 @ 28/1

Cicely 8.00 @ 8/1

Salonica 8.30 @ 5/2

Wolver – all weather – tapeta

5.00 Termonator is so hard to win with and returning from a break and from a wide draw is passed over . Jenny Ren backed up a C&D win with a fine 2nd in the Thirsk mud, underlining her excellent current form , but the 3 pound hit will test . In a race of little early pace , this makes the front running Point Of honour of interest , particularly at long odds . He was a gutsy winner , under this jockey , at Musselburgh off just a 2 pound lower mark and has run respectably since, except for last time when upped in  trip on deep ground . Proven on the surface and in a race for amateur riders , up front is often the place to be .

1/2pt ew Point Of Honour @ 28/1

5.30 There was precious little between Cariad and Mirabello Bay over C&D recently , and on the revised terms , will be hard to split again, but both have been nudged up the ratings and this looks deeper . Fullforward has been 3rd in both nurseries , off this mark , but no all weather blood in the pedigree . Solitary Trees is held by Cariad on C&D form so worth a try on  the down in  class Vilemacho , a staying on 5th in a competitive heat at Newcastle , so proven on the surface and likely to stay the extra furlong . Wide draw a nuisance .

1/4pt win Vilemacho @ 4/1

6.00 A tricky small field juvenile maiden and preference is for the front running Runaholic , who has run to a level good enough to land this the last twice . Proven on the trip but has to be trusted on the surface . Blue Universe and Connemara Coast both ran well on debut and entitled to improve while Prince of Zenda’s value soared from £75,000 to £150,000 from foal to yearling, which if often a very positive sign , but jockey booking suggests , he may need more time .

1/4pt win Runaholic @ 4/1

6.30 The well drawn Rock Girl will give it a real go from the front  and proven on the surface, but prefers an extra furlong . Betweenthesticks was looking very hard to win with , but which is often the case with long standing maidens , once he got his nose in front m he backed that up with a brave effort in a soft ground nursery off this mark , but soft ground is his thing and hard seeing him making an impact from the worst of the draw under a 7 pound claimer . Overnight Oats comes here on the back of a much improved effort at this trip, which puts him on a good looking mark , and has plenty of all weather blood in the pedigree .

1/4pt win Overnight Oats @ 3/1

7.00 Newyorkstateofmind bounced back to form with a win over C&D last time , but the wide draw and penalty make the double unlikely . Churchill Bay’s best run this season came over C&D when beaten just 2 lengths , when given too much to do. Down 2 pounds, well drawn , and is preferred in a winnable heat .

1/4pt win Churchill Bay @ 6/1

7.30 A good quality big field Class 3 handicap, with a stack of early pace which makes the late players of interest. Strike Red is a very strong finisher , and both tapeta wins have come at the very different type of track of Newcastle , stiff and galloping , while Wolver is tight and speedy , but he’s well drawn , running well on the surface and will have an ideal strong pace to chase .

1/4pt ew Strike Red @ 8/1

8.00 Cicely certainly comes to life here , 3 wins from 4 tries , and there was little wrong with her 1 length 4th over C&D returning from a lengthy break , but struggled next time back on turf. Given her record here , hard to ignore .

1/2pt  ew Cicely @ 8/1

8.30 I was with Salonica last time out over C&D at long odds, and had her with 3 good priced winners in a yank, and ran a cracker , finishing 3rd , beaten a length .  She is a hold up type and when switched wide to get a run, did it willingly and with a little more luck, may well have got there . This race is full of early pace , which will of course suit her waiting style and under the same able 7 pound claimer , can be compensated .

1/2pt win Salonica @ 5/2

Wolver placepot







16 bets

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