Definite chance in the 4.33

Today’s Fortune for a fiver

50p ew trixie & 50p ew treble

Definite wisdom 4.33 @ 8/1

Homemade Andrea 3.00 @ 9/1

Storm Melody 5.15 @ 6/1

Selected Warwick – probably good to soft on this flat and sharp track

1.00& 1.30 A couple of uncompetitive novice hurdles which both have solid short priced favs in Benign Dictator and Jeffrey’s Cross , double pays around 9/4. Worth an interest

¼ pt double Benign Dictator and Jeffrey’s Cross

2.05 Full marks to Wind Tor who’s improved significantly since going handicap chasing at staying trips and is on a hat-trick , against unconvincing opposition, but plenty of negatives – up 7 pounds , switches to a speed track and also races on quicker ground , , but saying that , a win wouldn’t shock . Nice fence sitter .

No Bet

2.40 PREMIUM RACE

3.15 The hat-trick seeking Prince Escalus did very well last time to make all, as usual ,on ground soft enough , coming home clear . He’s a stiff 8 pounds higher , and is another up against unconvincing rivals , and another negative is that he is 0 from 3 going left handed , noticeably ill at ease in all of these races. Another fence sitter .

No Bet

3.50 This will take little winning and last time novice hurdle winner Head Law is on a very fair mark and hard to see what can trouble him .

½ pt  win Head Law @ 6/5

Warwick placepot

2

4

1,2,3

1.8

1,2,6

4

18 bets

Selected Lingfield – all weather  – polytrack

1.50 A fiercely competitive opener and of the 11 strong field , I can honestly give decent chances to 10 of them , and this has the look of guesswork . Not for me .

No Bet

2.25 A weak low grade handicap and understandable that both Naughty Nadine and Mythical Star are the market leaders against such modest opposition , but this pair are hardly convincing either .

No Bet

3.00 Another uncompetitive event and a clear chance can be given to recent Wolver 2nd at this trip Safety First , who had Homemade Andrea well behind , but I was with this filly quite strongly in that race and was never given a chance , held up right at the back , and she is usually ridden prominently , just when she was a good 3rd over C&D in a much better race and off a higher mark . No qualms with the draw today and is preferred over the lightly raced The Mad Monk ,who was well supported in his first handicap , which came here , but over a longer trip , and didn’t appear to be crying out for a shorter distance.

½ pt   ew  Homemade Andrea @ 9/1

3.35 Tartarius was strong in the market on debut over C&D and gave the short priced fav a fright , running to a very decent level. Swatch brings the best form to the table , but does have stamina to prove while Jad Mahal returns from a 5 months break and unproven on this surface . Draw could have been kinder for the tip.

1/4pt win Tartarius @ 11/2

4.10 The market leaders in Clase Azul Ultra , Sir Henry Cotton and Top Exhibit all have a bit to prove switching surface and in some cases dropping in trip so worth trying the well handicapped Dora Penny , 3 times a winner last season , one of those coming off this mark in a good quality Class 2 handicap and has shaped up pretty well in both runs since her break on the all weather at a trip too short .

¼ pt  win Dora Penny @11/2

4.45 A couple of very much in form runners in the hat-trick seeking Cool Spirit and the admirably consistent Intervention , 3 wins and 2 seconds in his last 5 , but this one has the worst of the draw and on this surface would be happier over an extra furlong . Cool spirit has made all winning his last two , the latest over C&d but off a 4 pound lower mark and is unlikely to be able to match strides with the flying C&D winner Pablo Del Pueblo . a dual C&d winner and this lightly raced sort remains unexposed .

1/2pt win Pablo Del Pubelo @ 5/1

5.15 The very much back to form , the front running The Defiant , comes here on a hat-trick and could well be up to the 3 pound penalty , as on old form , still well handicapped .Storm Melody is well drawn to have first crack at the pacesetter and off just a pound higher than his last winning mark , can stay the best .

½ pt  ew  Storm Melody @ 6/1

Lingfield placepot

4,6

1,6

6

8

2,3

6,11

16 bets

Selected Wetherby – probably soft ground on this flat and galloping track

2.15 The main players are very closely matched and this is another to watch .

No Bet

2.50 In the not too distant past, Clearance was one always worth considering be it over hurdles or on the flat as he could be relied always to run his usual good race, but the wheels have fallen off seriously , and no surprise connections are trying him in a claimer . Weebil is useful and consistent in this grade and should collect for odds on players .

No Bet

3.25 Rose Sea Has finally got back on the winning trail , landing quite a modest event at Fontwell and in another modest event , she may have to give best to the progressive and tenacious Miss Amelia, with no issues regarding her returning from a break .

½ pt  win Miss Amelia @ 11/4

3.58 This looks very much a 3 horse war , and the bookies have got it right , but preference is for dual track winner Glencassley , unlucky taking a last flight fall last time out when bang there and preferred to Jet Plane and Jet Of Magic .

½ pt win Glencassley @ 3/1

4.33 This will take very little winning and the well handicapped Definite Wisdom put in a far better run last time when a close 3rd off this mark and has gone close over C&D in the mud off higher marks than today .

½ p t ew  Definite Wisdom @ 8/1

5.05 PREMIUM RACE

Wetherby placepot

5,7

1

4

3

9

1,7

4 bets

Selected Chelmsford City – all weather – polytrack

3.30 Boasty ran well on his first outing for Ivan Furtado when 2nd at Wolver and shouldn’t have any issues up in trip and switching to polytrack , but up 3 pounds , which will test this short priced fav. The consistent but very hard to win with Blazer Two is unlikely to break his duck dropping significantly in trip . Lake Sand landed a double here last season , both wins off around this mark , but then struggled off a slightly higher mark . There was plenty to like about his last race , a rare try at this trip , running on well . He’s now back down to a good mark and from a good draw , unlikely to be far away. Fen tiger has put together a consistent series of runs , including a close 2nd over C&D and if overcoming a wide draw, wont be far away again .

¼ pt  ew  Lake Sand @ 9/1

4.05 PREMIUM RACE

4.40 Not a deep race and the consistent track regular Love Poems ran well on her comeback spin to be 2nd here . Drop in trip is no issue and remains on a workable mark .

¼ pt win Love Poems @ 5/2

5.10 Storm Asset is holding his form very well and understandably a warm order in a weak race, but his mark looks high enough switching back to polytrack and down significantly in trip , but could get away with it . Both Tilsworth Only Ta and Music Banner could give him something to think about .

No Bet

5.45 Another modest heat and the short priced fav is the clear form horse in Jungle Run , but returns from a 4 months break , is down in trip , switching from tapeta and 4 pounds higher for the win at Wolver and previously was well held over C&D off a 3 pound lower mark than today. Has to be worth a little ew on the down in grade Theoretical on a fair mark after a good 4th at Southwell and ,long enough odds to chance switching surfaces .

¼ pt   ew  Theoretical @ 16/1

6.15 PREMIUM RACE

6.45 There was nothing in it between Blue trail , Harrow and Find in a similar race at this trip at Kempton and as the latter is way overpriced , as he was beaten a nose and a head, has to be the play .

¼ pt  win Find @ 8/1

7.15 The handicapper has gone vey serious with the back to form Cuban Breeze , up 6 pounds for his latest win while the consistent Atiyah tries polytrack for the first time so can only be watched and also she’s one of many front runners in the field which gives a decent chance to the ultra consistent Dark Side Prince , at his best chasing a strong pace , and also well drawn . He’s a bit high in the ratings now but the race make up compensates .

¼ pt win Dark Side Prince @ 7/2

Chelmsford City placepot

5,10

6,8

4

4,7

1,3

Fav

16 bets

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